Time-to-event analysis in economic evaluations: a comparison of modelling methods to assess the cost-effectiveness of transplanting a marginal quality kidney

Table 3 Parameter estimates and uncertainties used in the models

Parameter		Baseline value	Standard Error	Distribution	Source
Transition probabilities
Graft failure following transplantation	Lambda	0.0698	0.0072	Normal	ANZDATA
Graft failure following transplantation	Gamma	0.3944	0.0345	Normal	ANZDATA
Mortality following transplantation	Lambda	0.0502	0.0059	Normal	ANZDATA
Mortality following transplantation	Gamma	0.9305	0.0572	Normal	ANZDATA
Mortality following graft failure	Lambda	0.0922	0.0027	Normal	ANZDATA
Mortality following graft failure	Gamma	1.1161	0.0153	Normal	ANZDATA
Mortality while on waiting list	Lambda	0.0315	0.0039	Normal	ANZDATA
Mortality while on waiting list	Gamma	1.4346	0.0654	Normal	ANZDATA
Utility
Transplant		0.82; 95% CI (0.74 to 0.90)		Uniform	[24]
Dialysis		0.70; 95% CI (0.62 to 0.78)		Uniform	[24]
Cost (in AUD)
Transplant (1st year)		115,725 (± 15%)		Uniform	[19]
Transplant (2nd year onwards)		16,110 (± 15%)		Uniform	[19]
Dialysis		81,689 (± 15%)		Uniform	[22]

ISSN: 2191-1991